# Simulated Pilot Verified ✅

> **Disclosure:** This document is a staged illustration only. Every narrative, metric, and CLI excerpt below is generated from simulated Vaultfire CLI runs and seeded identities—no live contributors participated.

## Simulated Community XP Pilot: Belief-Aligned Engagement Loop

**Context:** Simulated pilot conducted using Vaultfire CLI v1.2 in a closed pre-deployment sandbox with anonymized participant handles.

### System Flow Description
1. **Belief Onboarding Pulse:** Community stewards used the Vaultfire CLI to register a curated cohort of 250 contributors, applying the belief logging schema to capture intent tags ("mutual-aid", "signal-care", "civic-upskill").
2. **Mission Loop Execution:** Participants received bi-weekly missions through scripted CLI dispatches. Each mission combined reflective prompts and measurable XP quests to ensure the belief ledger captured both qualitative sentiment and quantitative contribution.
3. **Belief Logging & XP Rewards:** Contributors replied through the CLI belief logging module, pushing JSON payloads into the simulated ledger. XP rewards were calculated by the rewards engine plug-in, factoring time-to-response, alignment resonance, and peer affirmations.
4. **Feedback Resonance Check:** The pilot mirrored the production readiness audit by simulating escalations to the Guardian Loop when belief drift exceeded 7%. Synthetic operators intervened via CLI to rebalance missions and maintain ethical guardrails.
5. **Reporting & Steward Review:** Vaultfire’s ethics-first dashboards (simulated CLI exports) summarized sentiment, XP velocity, and opt-in retention for partner stakeholders, framing insights as pre-deployment signals rather than final proof.

This flow demonstrates architectural readiness for belief-centered community programs while making it explicit that no live data has been processed. Each phase was staged using deterministically seeded identities to prevent inference about real contributors.

### Expected Outcomes
- Establish a baseline XP velocity (+18% simulated uplift) attributable to belief-aligned missions.
- Validate stewardship capacity to monitor and rebalance belief drift before a production go/no-go decision.
- Produce opt-in consent artifacts that can be ported into live audits once real communities join the loop.
- Surface ROI narratives grounded in retention uplift (+12% projected) and corporate social responsibility storytelling.

### Sample CLI Interaction (Mocked & Simulated)
```
$ vaultfire-cli missions dispatch --cohort community-xp --belief-tag "mutual-aid"
> Simulated dispatch complete. 83 mission packets queued.

$ vaultfire-cli belief log --user vf_contrib_118 --mission 23A --reflection "Documented local care pod setup." --xp 45
> Ledger receipt: SIM-LOG-8842. XP (45) added. Belief resonance: 0.91.

$ vaultfire-cli rewards summarize --window "2024-02-01..2024-02-14" --simulate true
> Total XP issued: 11,420 (simulated)
> Drift alerts escalated: 2 (resolved)
> Retention signal: +12.3% vs. simulated baseline
```

### Simulated Baseline vs. Expected Live Metrics
| Metric | Simulated Baseline | Expected Live Metrics |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Active Contributors per Mission | 180 | 210–240 once partner community opens |
| XP Velocity (avg XP per contributor per cycle) | 38 | 45–52 with live sentiment loops |
| Belief Drift Alerts per Cycle | 3 | ≤2 after steward certification |
| Retention after 60 Days | 68% | 76–80% with real peer affirmations |
| CSR Story Completion Rate | 54% | 65–70% post launch |

### Ethics & Disclosure Notes
This document represents a **Simulated Use Case Pilot**. All outputs were generated using Vaultfire CLI staging flags and anonymized seeds. Deploying to live participants requires a renewed consent sweep, partner compliance review, and validation of the belief logging smart attestation in production.
