# Vaultfire v1.5.0 Risk Matrix

| Threat | Probability | Impact | Mitigation |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dormant telemetry drift corrupts yield projections | Medium | Mispriced drops + ethics variance | Rehydrate logs via resonance.py anomaly retraining; Drift Oracle Monte Carlo sanity checks |
| Copilot or model refusals on ethics clauses | Low | Slower documentation refresh | Maintain manual template forks, route fallback prompts through Grok API |
| Chainlink oracle desynchronization | Medium | Incorrect TVL projections | Locustfile synthetic oracle guard + automatic retry with capped jitter |
| Halo2 circuit regression in zk core | Medium | Delayed attestations | Dual Dilithium/ECDSA harness and nightly halo hash diffs |
| Pilot consent regression | Low | Forced pause of pilots | manifestFailover.py veto hook auto-pauses on >10% adversarial signals |
| Alignment drift exceeding 3% | Medium | Yield throttling + governance alerts | Alignment beacon RL simulator auto-tunes policy and belief_tracker drift alarms |
| Governance capture attempts | Low | Ethics breach | Anthropic oversight channel + multi-sig veto triggers |
| Mainnet RPC saturation | Medium | User latency | Horizontal scaling runbooks + velocity-sim commit pacing |
